While the STF Investigates the STF, Who Is Investigating Vorcaro?

The crisis opened within the Supreme Court by the Banco Master case is producing a consequence independent of its protagonists’ intentions: institutional disorganization has entered the main suspect’s defense strategy.

Fernando Fagundes Ferreira ·

The crisis opened within the Supreme Court by the Banco Master case is beginning to produce a consequence that does not depend on the intentions of its protagonists: institutional disorganization has already become part of the procedural strategy of the main suspect's defense.

The Banco Master case has produced an inversion that is beginning to have procedural consequences. Daniel Vorcaro remains at the center of the investigations, but a growing share of the institutional energy mobilized by the material extracted from his cellphone has come to be consumed by a dispute within the justice system itself. The Supreme Court is debating jurisdiction, case assignment, disqualifications and the fate of proceedings that have reached members of the Court, while the former banker's defense has already incorporated the paralysis caused by this conflict into the arguments presented in his favor.

This shift does not mean there is a coordinated effort aimed at benefiting Vorcaro. A claim of that nature would require evidence that, so far, has not been demonstrated. The problem is more objective: an investigation can produce procedural opportunities for the person under investigation simply because the institutions responsible for conducting it fall into conflict over how to do so.

It is precisely here that the crisis stops being a matter of interest only to the Supreme Court's internal administration. When doubts about jurisdiction begin to interfere with the progress of proceedings, with access to evidence, or with the authorization of investigative measures, they become part of the legal environment in which prosecution and defense operate.

In the Master case, this passage from institutional crisis into the proceedings has already happened.

The crisis reaches the defense

On September 18, three days after the Supreme Court's extraordinary session dedicated to the case, Vorcaro's defense asked the Court's president, Edson Fachin, to revoke his pretrial detention. Among the arguments presented was the paralysis of the Compliance Zero Operation proceedings following Flávio Dino's request to review the case. The defense also argued that the detention should be reassessed in light of the interruption of the investigations. Agência Brasil

The request may be rejected, and its filing does not demonstrate that Vorcaro has obtained any concrete benefit. What it does demonstrate is something prior and relevant: the defense identified in the institutional disorganization a legally usable circumstance.

This is the point from which the case deserves to be observed. Rather than searching for hidden intentions, it is possible to track verifiable effects. The question is no longer who might be trying to protect Vorcaro, but rather: what procedural opportunities can arise from a crisis that the defense did not need to create?

A trial interrupted before reaching the merits

The immediate origin of the impasse lies in the September 15 session. The Supreme Court began to examine Petition 16.662, based on a Federal Police report related to information extracted from Vorcaro's cellphone and alleged conversations involving Alexandre de Moraes. Before examining the merits, however, the Court moved on to discuss a procedural motion presented by Gilmar Mendes to join this proceeding with Petition 16.704, related to questions about André Mendonça's role in the Master case. Notícias STF

Gilmar Mendes, Cristiano Zanin and Alexandre de Moraes voted for joint processing. Edson Fachin, André Mendonça, Luiz Fux and Cármen Lúcia held that the cases should remain separate. Kassio Nunes Marques declared himself disqualified and Dias Toffoli declared suspicion of bias. Flávio Dino requested more time to review the case and asked that his position in favor of joining the proceedings not be counted at that moment. The formal tally stood at 4 to 3 in favor of keeping them separate. Supremo Tribunal Federal

The practical result was that the Supreme Court never reached the question that had motivated the session. The discussion about the possible investigation related to Moraes gave way to a controversy over the procedural architecture needed for that discussion to take place at all.

There are important legal reasons for these questions to be resolved. Jurisdiction, impartiality, precedence, disqualification and the proper obtaining and circulation of evidence are not artificial obstacles to the proceedings; they are guarantees of the proceedings themselves. The problem arises when defining these guarantees begins to consume so much time and institutional capacity that it interferes with the very investigation they are meant to protect.

It is the investigation facing itself in the mirror.

The investigative cost of indecision

A criminal investigation does not operate at the same pace as an administrative proceeding. Some measures can be taken months later without significant loss, but others depend on circumstances that change quickly. Communications disappear, financial relationships are reorganized, companies alter their structures, people replace devices, documents circulate, and witnesses come to know public versions of the facts.

There is no basis, at this moment, to state that specific events of this kind have occurred in the Master case because of the dispute within the Supreme Court. The issue is different: time can change the usefulness of an investigative measure, and for that reason judicial indecision is not necessarily neutral for an investigation.

A breach of secrecy order, a search, or any other measure authorized today can produce a different result than the same measure ordered weeks or months later. When requests that depend on a judicial decision become subject to a controversy over who has jurisdiction to rule on them, the discussion no longer has merely administrative consequences. It can acquire evidentiary consequences.

This risk gained additional weight this past Monday, September 29, when André Mendonça's chambers stated that the manner and timing in which information from the Master case was made available compromised investigative measures and undermined the possibility of obtaining other evidence. According to the chambers, the raw files received by the justice remain sealed and encrypted. Folha de S.Paulo

The statement must be treated exactly for what it is: a statement from Mendonça's chambers. At this point, it does not amount to an independent conclusion by the Federal Police, nor to a judicial decision recognizing the loss, contamination or invalidation of any given piece of evidence.

Even so, the controversy shows how the conflict has evolved. The discussion is no longer limited to the content of the messages found on Vorcaro's phone. It has come to involve who could have access to the material, under what circumstances it could circulate, and whether that circulation interfered with subsequent investigative measures.

The evidence has become, simultaneously, an instrument and an object of the dispute.

The benefit does not need a benefactor

This is perhaps the most important aspect for understanding the problem without turning it into a conspiracy theory.

A person under investigation can obtain a procedural advantage without any authority having intended to benefit him. Pretrial detention can be revoked because it has lost its grounds; evidence can be excluded due to a flaw in how it was obtained; a decision can be annulled due to the incompetence of the authority that issued it; an investigative measure can lose its usefulness because it was authorized too late.

In all of these examples, effect and intention are different things.

For that reason, saying that the crisis has benefited Vorcaro would still require demonstrating what benefit actually occurred and its relationship to the institutional disorganization. Saying that the crisis has created new defensive opportunities, on the other hand, already rests on a concrete fact: the defense itself has begun to use the paralysis of the proceedings as grounds for requesting the revocation of the pretrial detention. Agência Brasil

This distinction also avoids a recurring trap in the coverage of judicial crises. If every irregularity is interpreted as proof of conspiracy, the analysis loses credibility. If every procedural dispute is treated as bureaucracy without consequences, one loses precisely the ability to identify when bureaucracy begins to alter the outcome of the proceedings.

The paradox produced by the cellphone

Vorcaro's phone expanded the institutional reach of the case because it yielded information that came to involve authorities and require new decisions about jurisdiction, access and procedures. This development was predictable: the more an investigation finds elements related to people subject to special legal regimes, the more complex its conduct tends to become.

The paradox appears when this expansion begins to affect the original investigation.

The greater the number of authorities, proceedings and controversies incorporated into the case, the greater also the surface available for discussions about jurisdiction, disqualification, suspicion of bias, information sharing and the validity of the acts performed. This does not mean that any of these discussions will result in nullity. It only means that the prosecution now has to defend, in addition to its interpretation of the facts, the regularity of the path used to reach them.

For the defense, every controversy represents a question that can be submitted to the Judiciary. Not all of them need to succeed for one of them to produce an effect.

The expansion of the investigation may begin to produce its own contraction.

What the PIR reveals about the case

There is also a less visible dimension to the crisis. The problem lies not only in the legal difficulty of defining who should decide, but in the growing public difficulty of understanding how the proceedings themselves function.

This is where the Public Intelligibility Review™ (PIR), an analytical tool developed by Lawfare4All, offers a useful key. Rather than deciding which justice is right, the PIR asks whether a citizen can reconstruct the institutional chain of the case: who is investigating, who is deciding, what proceeding is under way, what is the status of the evidence, and what consequences each decision produces.

Applied to the Master case, the test reveals a chain that is particularly difficult to follow. An investigation into Vorcaro produced information related to authorities. That information gave rise to new proceedings. The existence of these proceedings prompted discussions about justices who participate or could participate in the decisions. Then came disqualifications, declarations of suspicion of bias, disagreements over joining the proceedings and, finally, a request for more time to review the case that interrupted the discussion before the merits could be examined. In that interval, the paralysis began to appear in the arguments of the defense of the person under investigation.

The difficulty of understanding this sequence creates a problem of its own. Procedural facts, statements from authorities and still-hypothetical consequences can end up being presented to the public as if they belonged to the same category.

They do not.

The procedural fact is that the September 15 trial was interrupted before the merits were examined. Notícias STF The institutional claim is that, according to Mendonça's chambers, the release of information undermined investigative measures and the obtaining of other evidence. Folha de S.Paulo The already documented effect is that Vorcaro's defense invoked the paralysis of the proceedings when requesting the revocation of his detention. Agência Brasil Any eventual annulment of acts, exclusion of evidence, or definitive loss of investigative measures remains, at this moment, in the realm of possibility.

This separation is central to public intelligibility. Without it, the reader could be led either to the hasty conclusion that there is a deliberate protection operation under way, or to the opposite idea that this is all just a technical dispute without consequences.

The PIR allows the question to be framed more precisely: is the system still capable of publicly explaining who has the authority to perform each act and how each decision interferes with the investigation?

When that chain can no longer be easily reconstructed, the crisis is no longer just one of jurisdiction. It is also a crisis of institutional intelligibility.

Who captures the benefit?

This is where journalistic investigation can move forward without getting ahead of its conclusion.

Rather than trying to guess the justices' intentions or turning every episode into evidence of favoritism, it is enough to follow what happens in the case record. If detention is revoked because of the paralysis, there will be a concrete effect to examine. If evidence is excluded because of problems in how it was obtained or shared, there will be another. The same holds for any eventual finding of lack of jurisdiction, annulment of decisions, or determination that an investigative measure lost its usefulness during the period of indecision.

None of this necessarily happened simply because there is a crisis. It is precisely that causal relationship that will need to be demonstrated should any benefit materialize.

For now, the costs are more visible than the benefits. The Supreme Court is spending time debating its own jurisdiction; justices are publicly disagreeing over procedures; the circulation of the evidence has become an object of controversy; and the defense of the main suspect has begun to incorporate this disorganization into its strategy.

The question that remains is not who is protecting Daniel Vorcaro. Framed that way, it would presuppose an intention that the available facts do not allow one to establish.

The more useful question is another: who will end up capturing the procedural effects of the crisis?

The answer will not come from public statements, from disputes among justices, or from the political interpretations surrounding the case. It will come from the decisions that are made, the evidence that remains valid, the investigative measures that can still be carried out, and the arguments that the defense teams manage to turn into results.

Vorcaro's defense did not need to create the crisis.

It only needed to recognize it.